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What this means. A wallet put $399.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$399.8k
BUY Yes @ 59¢ · 672,206 shares
Size ≥ $250kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x14c7…9ccf took Yes (buy) for $399.8k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $399.8k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−147American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.5%
- As American odds
- −147 no vig
- Size
- $399.8k
- Placed
- Aug 28, 13:04 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 28, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x14c7…9ccf
- Tx
- 0xb712d632…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-68.4 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +41 ptsYes price · entry 59¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.1k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $671.5k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $58.3k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |