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What this means. A wallet put $19.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?excluded
$19.2k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 19,225 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet TB14 took Yes (sell) for $19.2k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$19.2k
Placed
Aug 28, 16:46 EDT
Market close
Aug 28, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
TB14
Tx
0x0bb601bf…
This wallet's graded record
0/5-44.9 pts
expected 2.2 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.1k0% tennischamp56d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.3k0% BassKing1756d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $671.5k0% 0x14c7…9ccf56d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.5k0% 0x4607…d54256d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $58.3k0% NiNo99956d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ $55.7k
3.5× usual
99% Flaznorp56d agoexcluded