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What this means. A wallet put $115.5k on Athletics, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$115.5k
BUY Athletics @ 49¢ · 235,294 shares
Size ≥ $100k3.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xf668…5c69 took Athletics (buy) for $115.5k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Baltimore Orioles, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $115.5k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Athletics wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.1%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $115.5k
- Placed
- Aug 28, 18:33 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 28, 21:40 EDT
- Result
- Baltimore Orioles
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xf668…5c69
- Tx
- 0x86a9d08a…
This wallet's graded record
4/7-4.0 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsAthletics price · entry 49¢ · resolved Baltimore Orioles
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics | MED SELL Athletics @ 63¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics | LOW BUY Athletics @ 49¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics | MED SELL Athletics @ 48¢ | $112.9k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics | MED BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 52¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics | LOW BUY Athletics @ 46¢ | $16.7k | missed |