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Baltimore Orioles vs. Athleticsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $112.9k on not Athletics, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Baltimore Orioles vs. Athleticsexcluded$112.9k
SELL Athletics @ 48¢ · 235,294 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xf668…5c69 took Athletics (sell) for $112.9k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Baltimore Orioles. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $112.9k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $112.9k
- Placed
- Aug 28, 21:35 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 28, 21:40 EDT
- Result
- Baltimore Orioles
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xf668…5c69
- Tx
- 0x178f614e…
This wallet's graded record
4/7-4.0 pts
expected 4.3 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +48 ptsAthletics price · entry 48¢ · resolved Baltimore Orioles · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics | MED SELL Athletics @ 63¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics | LOW BUY Athletics @ 49¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics | MED BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 52¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics | MED BUY Athletics @ 49¢ | $115.5k 3.7× usual |
missed |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics | LOW BUY Athletics @ 46¢ | $16.7k | missed |