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What this means. A wallet put $98.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$98.8k
BUY No @ 98.8¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)3.7× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet TheyAreTakingTheHobitsTo took No (buy) for $98.8k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $98.8k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8455American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.8¢
- Implied odds
- 98.8%
- Size
- $98.8k
- Placed
- Aug 28, 10:10 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TheyAreTakingTheHobitsTo
- Tx
- 0x99dfee32…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+59.7 pts
expected 1.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $172.6k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |