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gokol

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did -25.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-25.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.3
Flagged volume
$341.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$21.2k
Last 30 days +$6,171 · $1.13M volume · 782 trades · since Dec 04, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$25.8k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$2,267
Closed-position win rate
82%
22 closed
Wallet age · markets
323d
28 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Economy100.3-25.3 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $30.3k99% 37d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $29.9k0% 37d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $27.9k1% 44d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ $21.9k1% 45d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 75¢ $31.4k25% 91d agomissed
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ $89.6k
3.0× usual
1% 101d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $14.9k99% 119d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $69.2k
2.3× usual
99% 120d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.2¢ $26.6k97% 164d agoexcluded

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