← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -30.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-30.4 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$146.9k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$168.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $506.6k volume · 14 trades · since Aug 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$0
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$163.7k
Closed-position win rate
—
0 closed
Wallet age · markets
57d
1 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 3 | 0 | 0.9 | -30.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $17.4k | missed |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $40.4k | missed |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $89.1k 2.2× usual |
missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x42f4cfd909cc005fe0e63fbe66d5b8e2ee3d12c7"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x42f4cfd909cc005fe0e63fbe66d5b8e2ee3d12c7.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x42f4cf…