Thursday, June 25, 2026

352 whale trades totalling $27.09M from 200 wallets. Biggest: $6.39M buy No on “Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?” at 59¢. 52 of 110 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 57.2 expected (-4.7 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY No @ 59¢	$6.39M 3.9× usual	59%	sparklingwater123 NEW	120d ago	excluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY No @ 44¢	$1.63M	44%	sparklingwater123 NEW	120d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY No @ 53¢	$1.52M	53%	BAREFLUX	120d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 47¢	$1.01M 3.0× usual	47%	0xc67a…f0b6	120d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 46¢	$830.0k 3.4× usual	46%	0xe22a…2703	120d ago	excluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 66¢	$605.9k 4.4× usual	66%	Winnerdinnerchickenjr	121d ago	missed	Trade this
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 48¢	$388.0k 9.2× usual	48%	0x2c33…0563	120d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 66¢	$364.4k 14.6× usual	66%	neutralwave23 PROVEN	120d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY No @ 50¢	$259.3k 6.2× usual	50%	0x2c33…0563	120d ago	excluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$252.4k 5.2× usual	100%	67BrainRot	120d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY No @ 75¢	$217.4k 8.2× usual	75%	swisstony PROVEN	120d ago	excluded
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	MED BUY Yes @ 89¢	$209.5k 3.6× usual	89%	gmpm2	120d ago	excluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	MED BUY Yes @ 62¢	$197.4k 7.2× usual	62%	RegardedMoney PROVEN	120d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 45¢	$188.8k	45%	0x1b3f…764c NEW	120d ago	excluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 45¢	$188.7k	45%	0xea40…8826 NEW	120d ago	excluded

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY No @ 59¢$6.39M

HIGH New wallet sparklingwater123 · 120d ago

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY No @ 44¢$1.63M

HIGH New wallet sparklingwater123 · 120d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY No @ 53¢$1.52M

HIGH BAREFLUX · 120d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 47¢$1.01M

HIGH 0xc67a…f0b6 · 120d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 46¢$830.0k

HIGH 0xe22a…2703 · 120d ago

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?missed

BUY Yes @ 66¢$605.9k

HIGH Winnerdinnerchickenjr · 121d ago

Trade this

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 48¢$388.0k

HIGH 0x2c33…0563 · 120d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 66¢$364.4k

HIGH PROVEN neutralwave23 · 120d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY No @ 50¢$259.3k

HIGH 0x2c33…0563 · 120d ago

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$252.4k

MED 67BrainRot · 120d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY No @ 75¢$217.4k

HIGH PROVEN swisstony · 120d ago

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 89¢$209.5k

MED gmpm2 · 120d ago

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?missed

BUY Yes @ 62¢$197.4k

MED PROVEN RegardedMoney · 120d ago

Trade this

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 45¢$188.8k

HIGH New wallet 0x1b3f…764c · 120d ago

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 45¢$188.7k

HIGH New wallet 0xea40…8826 · 120d ago

Most traded markets

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

$10.21M · 71 flags

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

$9.37M · 113 flags

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

$4.69M · 71 flags

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

$648.6k · 18 flags

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

$333.7k · 16 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

$304.3k · 13 flags