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What this means. A wallet put $364.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.0 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$364.4k
BUY Yes @ 66¢ · 555,173 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $250k8 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet14.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet neutralwave23 took Yes (buy) for $364.4k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $364.4k+3
8 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−191American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 66¢
- Implied odds
- 65.6%
- As American odds
- −191 no vig
- Size
- $364.4k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 22:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- neutralwave23
- Tx
- 0xe7d6d68c…
This wallet's graded record
13/20+0.0 pts
expected 13.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -66 ptsYes price · entry 66¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY No @ 93¢ | $163.7k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $52.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 45¢ | $141.5k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $46.7k | excluded |