Saturday, June 6, 2026

94 whale trades totalling $5.72M from 77 wallets. Biggest: $861.6k buy Spurs on “Spurs vs. Knicks” at 47¢. 52 of 78 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 51.2 expected (+1.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Spurs vs. Knicks	HIGH BUY Spurs @ 47¢	$861.6k	47%	Jamesborden NEW	139d ago	called	Trade this
Spurs vs. Knicks	HIGH SELL Spurs @ 45¢	$836.9k	55%	Jamesborden NEW	139d ago	missed	Trade this
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$760.0k 3.6× usual	100%	MoronKiler	140d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Knicks	MED BUY Spurs @ 45¢	$244.3k 3.8× usual	45%	ThisAgain	139d ago	called	Trade this
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$225.3k 2.9× usual	100%	033033033	140d ago	excluded
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)	MED BUY Belal Muhammad @ 53¢	$148.3k 2.3× usual	53%	ThisAgain	139d ago	excluded
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)	LOW SELL Gabriel Bonfim @ 99.9¢	$144.3k 3.8× usual	0%	0x3dfb…abaf	139d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 81¢	$120.0k	81%	IronyOfLife	139d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	100%	JAHODA	139d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢	$92.8k 4.6× usual	1%	Thomas58	139d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 93.6¢	$92.8k 4.6× usual	94%	Thomas58	139d ago	missed	Trade this
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 65¢	$92.2k	65%	IronyOfLife	139d ago	missed	Trade this
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH BUY No @ 89¢	$83.2k	89%	hairlaidback NEW	139d ago	called	Trade this
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢	$64.2k	99%	elmcap2	139d ago	excluded
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)	MED BUY Belal Muhammad @ 51¢	$61.3k	51%	wr0ngw4yb3tt0r	139d ago	excluded

Spurs vs. Knickscalled

BUY Spurs @ 47¢$861.6k

HIGH New wallet Jamesborden · 139d ago

Trade this

Spurs vs. Knicksmissed

SELL Spurs @ 45¢$836.9k

HIGH New wallet Jamesborden · 139d ago

Trade this

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$760.0k

LOW MoronKiler · 140d ago

Spurs vs. Knickscalled

BUY Spurs @ 45¢$244.3k

MED ThisAgain · 139d ago

Trade this

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$225.3k

LOW 033033033 · 140d ago

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)excluded

BUY Belal Muhammad @ 53¢$148.3k

MED ThisAgain · 139d ago

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)excluded

SELL Gabriel Bonfim @ 99.9¢$144.3k

LOW 0x3dfb…abaf · 139d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 81¢$120.0k

MED IronyOfLife · 139d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW JAHODA · 139d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 98.5¢$92.8k

LOW Thomas58 · 139d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?missed

BUY No @ 93.6¢$92.8k

LOW Thomas58 · 139d ago

Trade this

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?missed

BUY No @ 65¢$92.2k

MED IronyOfLife · 139d ago

Trade this

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY No @ 89¢$83.2k

HIGH New wallet hairlaidback · 139d ago

Trade this

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 98.9¢$64.2k

LOW elmcap2 · 139d ago

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)excluded

BUY Belal Muhammad @ 51¢$61.3k

MED wr0ngw4yb3tt0r · 139d ago

Most traded markets

Spurs vs. Knicks

$2.02M · 5 flags

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

$1.05M · 4 flags

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

$557.3k · 13 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

$337.9k · 12 flags

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

$240.9k · 9 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

$228.0k · 5 flags