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What this means. A wallet put $836.9k on not Spurs, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Knicksmissed
$836.9k
SELL Spurs @ 45¢ · 1,858,311 shares in 9 fills
Size ≥ $250k9 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletSports

What happened

Wallet Jamesborden took Spurs (sell) for $836.9k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $836.9k+3
9 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
45¢
Implied odds
55.0%
As American odds
−122 no vig
Size
$836.9k
Placed
Jun 06, 16:54 EDT
Market close
Jun 08, 20:30 EDT
Result
Spurs
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Jamesborden
Tx
0x03aad7ea…
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -55 pts
Spurs price · entry 45¢ · resolved Spurs · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 45¢ · $836.9k WHALE $836.9K @ 45¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
5.0× usual
0% 7771x137d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $24.1k0% Nikiandy137d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $24.4k0% Avrtsz137d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% kkookkoo137d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $51.1k0% F710B0004C35A3E6137d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $13.7k0% 050005000500137d agoexcluded