← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -39.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-39.7 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$219.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$69.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $5.61M volume · 145 trades · since Nov 08, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$89.9k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$18.8k
Closed-position win rate
63%
30 closed
Wallet age · markets
715d
37 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -39.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ | $14.4k | missed |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 1.5¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 2.8¢ | $23.7k | excluded |
 Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Knicks @ 37¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $24.1k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Spurs @ 47¢ | $11.3k | called |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $65.2k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Knicks @ 33¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL No @ 52¢ | $13.1k | missed |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $12.4k | called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x4f1d8723cfe30eb5a26891a8f402f592ac0c708b"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x4f1d8723cfe30eb5a26891a8f402f592ac0c708b.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4f1d87…