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What this means. A wallet put $144.3k on not Gabriel Bonfim, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)excluded
$144.3k
SELL Gabriel Bonfim @ 99.9¢ · 144,443 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)3.8× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took Gabriel Bonfim (sell) for $144.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Gabriel Bonfim. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $144.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$144.3k
Placed
Jun 06, 23:11 EDT
Market close
Jun 06, 13:00 EDT
Result
Gabriel Bonfim
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x3dfb…abaf
Tx
0xfa63ad36…
This wallet's graded record
13/29-10.9 pts
expected 16.2 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Gabriel Bonfim @ 99.9¢ $12.8k0% luckboxx139d agoexcluded
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Gabriel Bonfim @ 99¢ $14.8k99% aviato139d agoexcluded
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)MED BUY Gabriel Bonfim @ 47¢ $26.1k47% 0x3dfb…abaf139d agoexcluded
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Gabriel Bonfim @ 47¢ $47.0k47% 0x2c33…0563139d agoexcluded
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)MED BUY Belal Muhammad @ 53¢ $148.3k
2.3× usual
53% ThisAgain139d agoexcluded
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Belal Muhammad @ 52¢ $23.4k
2.1× usual
52% 0xdd9d…b730139d agoexcluded