0xdd9d…b730

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -50.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)+$150Alexander Volkanovski · avg 49¢ → 50¢ · $5,050 UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)−$127Abubakar Vagaev · avg 62¢ → 58¢ · $2,187 UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)+$20Rizvan Kuniev · avg 46¢ → 46¢ · $1,860 O/U 2.5 Rounds−$102Under · avg 61¢ → 55¢ · $922 UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)−$5Azamat Murzakanov · avg 65¢ → 64¢ · $645 UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)−$5Kody Steele · avg 58¢ → 57¢ · $575 UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)−$5Grant Dawson · avg 51¢ → 50¢ · $505 UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)+$5Cam Rowston · avg 47¢ → 48¢ · $475

Price-adjusted edge

-50.0 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.5

Flagged volume

$44.8k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$179.5k

Last 30 days +$17.8k · $2.91M volume · 3,584 trades · since Mar 04, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$130.2k

Open P&L · 80 positions

−$305.9k

Closed-position win rate

69%

203 closed

Wallet age · markets

234d

277 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	0	0.5	-50.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)	LOW BUY Hornets @ 51¢	$10.2k	51%	2d ago	excluded
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)	LOW BUY Belal Muhammad @ 52¢	$23.4k 2.1× usual	52%	139d ago	excluded
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	LOW BUY Spurs @ 50¢	$11.2k	50%	141d ago	missed

Spread: Hornets (-1.5)excluded

BUY Hornets @ 51¢$10.2k

LOW 0xdd9d…b730 · 2d ago

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)excluded

BUY Belal Muhammad @ 52¢$23.4k

LOW 0xdd9d…b730 · 139d ago

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)missed

BUY Spurs @ 50¢$11.2k

LOW 0xdd9d…b730 · 141d ago

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