Sunday, April 19, 2026

179 whale trades totalling $10.76M from 125 wallets. Biggest: $1.05M buy Spurs on “Trail Blazers vs. Spurs” at 86¢. 9 of 15 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 9.1 expected (-1.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	HIGH BUY Spurs @ 86¢	$1.05M 25.1× usual	86%	0x3625…1187	187d ago	called	Trade this
Magic vs. Pistons	HIGH BUY Pistons @ 78¢	$868.3k 24.8× usual	78%	0xbd14…d62a	187d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$536.5k	100%	NothingCanHappen	187d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$517.4k 12.5× usual	100%	Pestle	187d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	HIGH BUY No @ 70¢	$411.2k 12.6× usual	70%	0x6e1d…d0fa	187d ago	called	Trade this
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$406.3k 2.0× usual	100%	BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb	187d ago	excluded
Magic vs. Pistons	MED SELL Magic @ 99.9¢	$340.3k 6.8× usual	0%	Hugewinner	187d ago	excluded
Magic vs. Pistons	HIGH BUY Pistons @ 80¢	$305.9k 8.7× usual	80%	0xbd14…d62a	187d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$245.1k 5.9× usual	100%	Pestle	187d ago	excluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.8¢	$221.6k 2.1× usual	1%	0x8890…0653 NEW	187d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.3¢	$220.4k 5.3× usual	1%	Pestle	187d ago	excluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$199.8k 7.0× usual	100%	debased	187d ago	excluded
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	MED BUY Spurs @ 86¢	$177.4k 2.7× usual	86%	vbv19	187d ago	excluded
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels	LOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 99.9¢	$167.8k 5.6× usual	100%	Malfunction.	188d ago	excluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.8¢	$167.3k	1%	0x8890…0653 NEW	187d ago	excluded

Trail Blazers vs. Spurscalled

BUY Spurs @ 86¢$1.05M

HIGH 0x3625…1187 · 187d ago

Trade this

Magic vs. Pistonsmissed

BUY Pistons @ 78¢$868.3k

HIGH 0xbd14…d62a · 187d ago

Trade this

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$536.5k

MED NothingCanHappen · 187d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$517.4k

MED Pestle · 187d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?called

BUY No @ 70¢$411.2k

HIGH 0x6e1d…d0fa · 187d ago

Trade this

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$406.3k

LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 187d ago

Magic vs. Pistonsexcluded

SELL Magic @ 99.9¢$340.3k

MED Hugewinner · 187d ago

Magic vs. Pistonsmissed

BUY Pistons @ 80¢$305.9k

HIGH 0xbd14…d62a · 187d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$245.1k

LOW Pestle · 187d ago

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.8¢$221.6k

HIGH New wallet 0x8890…0653 · 187d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.3¢$220.4k

MED Pestle · 187d ago

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$199.8k

LOW debased · 187d ago

Trail Blazers vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 86¢$177.4k

MED vbv19 · 187d ago

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsexcluded

BUY San Diego Padres @ 99.9¢$167.8k

LOW Malfunction. · 188d ago

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.8¢$167.3k

HIGH New wallet 0x8890…0653 · 187d ago

Most traded markets

Magic vs. Pistons

$2.66M · 36 flags

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

$2.18M · 30 flags

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

$1.00M · 8 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

$644.7k · 2 flags

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

$604.6k · 4 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

$454.6k · 3 flags