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What this means. A wallet put $536.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$536.5k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 537,066 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite5 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet NothingCanHappen took No (buy) for $536.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $536.5k+3
Near-certain price-2
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $536.5k
- Placed
- Apr 19, 20:58 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 19, 23:01 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NothingCanHappen
- Tx
- 0x65545855…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $28.2k | excluded |