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+$30No · avg 63¢ → 64¢ · $5,080+$30Yes · avg 62¢ → 62¢ · $5,000+$2,617Yes · avg 4.1¢ → 16¢ · $3,546+$2,008Yes · avg 3.7¢ → 9.4¢ · $3,307+$740Yes · avg 56¢ → 92.5¢ · $1,850+$359Yes · avg 2.6¢ → 3.4¢ · $1,675+$366Yes · avg 40¢ → 71¢ · $830
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$39.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$52.4k
Last 30 days −$5,578 · $31.62M volume · 30,700 trades · since Jul 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.04M
Open P&L · 32 positions
−$30.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
1197d
1805 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5fc814…