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Trail Blazers vs. Spurscalled
What this means. A wallet put $1.05M on Spurs, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.05M
BUY Spurs @ 86¢ · 1,228,226 shares in 7 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite7 fills in 1h25.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x3625…1187 took Spurs (buy) for $1.05M at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.05M+3
7 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−592American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spurs wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 85.6%
- As American odds
- −592 no vig
- Size
- $1.05M
- Placed
- Apr 19, 19:16 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 19, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Spurs
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x3625…1187
- Tx
- 0xc9fef2f4…
This wallet's graded record
5/12-19.2 pts
expected 7.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +14 ptsSpurs price · entry 86¢ · resolved Spurs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $18.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.6¢ | $134.4k 4.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.1¢ | $36.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.8¢ | $22.2k | excluded |