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Ticklepickles44

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -89.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-89.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$84.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$7,254
Last 30 days +$0 · $689.7k volume · 696 trades · since Mar 30, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$10.1k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$4,387
Closed-position win rate
65%
48 closed
Wallet age · markets
208d
55 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports100.9-89.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Spurs @ 67¢ $21.5k67% 168d agoexcluded
Pistons vs. MagicLOW SELL Magic @ 93¢ $14.7k7% 179d agoexcluded
76ers vs. CelticsLOW BUY Celtics @ 89¢ $13.9k89% 186d agomissed
Trail Blazers vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $18.7k0% 187d agoexcluded
Trail Blazers vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 85¢ $15.8k85% 187d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x691116…