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What this means. A wallet put $98.8k on Pistons, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 15 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Magic vs. Pistonsmissed
$98.8k
BUY Pistons @ 79¢ · 124,730 shares
Size ≥ $10k2.8× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet 0xbd14…d62a took Pistons (buy) for $98.8k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Magic, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $98.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−380American odds
$1.00paid per share if Pistons wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
79¢
Implied odds
79.2%
As American odds
−380 no vig
Size
$98.8k
Placed
Apr 19, 09:26 EDT
Market close
Apr 19, 18:30 EDT
Result
Magic
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xbd14…d62a
Tx
0xc889f870…
This wallet's graded record
4/15-29.0 pts
expected 8.4 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -79 pts
Pistons price · entry 79¢ · resolved Magic
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 79¢ · $98.8k WHALE $98.8K @ 79¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Magic vs. PistonsLOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $20.9k0% pilotguy188d agoexcluded
Magic vs. PistonsLOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $23.2k0% 0x6165…db3c188d agoexcluded
Magic vs. PistonsLOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $12.7k0% roserose001188d agoexcluded
Magic vs. PistonsMED SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $340.3k
6.8× usual
0% Hugewinner188d agoexcluded
Magic vs. PistonsLOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $27.0k0% olegio188d agoexcluded
Magic vs. PistonsLOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $11.0k0% Schnoodled188d agoexcluded