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Magic vs. Pistonsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $98.8k on Pistons, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 15 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$98.8k
BUY Pistons @ 79¢ · 124,730 shares
Size ≥ $10k2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xbd14…d62a took Pistons (buy) for $98.8k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Magic, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $98.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−380American odds
$1.00paid per share if Pistons wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 79.2%
- As American odds
- −380 no vig
- Size
- $98.8k
- Placed
- Apr 19, 09:26 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 19, 18:30 EDT
- Result
- Magic
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xbd14…d62a
- Tx
- 0xc889f870…
This wallet's graded record
4/15-29.0 pts
expected 8.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -79 ptsPistons price · entry 79¢ · resolved Magic
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $23.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $340.3k 6.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |