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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did +45.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+45.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$172.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$597.5k
Last 30 days +$158 · $22.01M volume · 83,375 trades · since Mar 05, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.76M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
233d
13308 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.1 | +45.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | LOW BUY Hurricanes @ 58¢ | $11.7k | called |
 Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 49¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Rockets @ 59¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | MED BUY Knicks @ 33¢ | $72.4k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 52¢ | $14.6k | called |
| Magic vs. Pistons | LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Suns | LOW BUY Warriors @ 26¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 44¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x230287…