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What this means. A wallet put $411.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. It won. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$411.2k
BUY No @ 70¢ · 587,381 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $250k8 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)12.6× this wallet's usual betCrypto
What happened
Wallet 0x6e1d…d0fa took No (buy) for $411.2k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $411.2k+3
8 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 70.0%
- Size
- $411.2k
- Placed
- Apr 19, 18:01 EDT
- Market close
- May 01, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x6e1d…d0fa
- Tx
- 0xf7ddf4e7…
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Entry to resolution
Grade +30 ptsNo price · entry 70¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded | |
| MED SELL No @ 80¢ | $29.6k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $20.0k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $17.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $13.4k | called |