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justdance

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +17.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+17.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$13.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±37.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$2.01M
Last 30 days +$44.8k · $126.39M volume · 398,838 trades · since May 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$6.60M
Open P&L · 197 positions
−$83.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
906d
22516 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Crypto110.8+17.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $13.4k83% 179d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xcc500c…