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What this means. A wallet put $167.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
$167.3k
SELL No @ 98.8¢ · 169,360 shares in 14 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side14 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletSports

What happened

Wallet 0x8890…0653 took No (sell) for $167.3k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $167.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
14 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.8¢
Implied odds
1.2%
As American odds
+8233 no vig
Size
$167.3k
Placed
Apr 19, 07:33 EDT
Market close
Jul 07, 01:08 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x8890…0653
Tx
0xe5b7a165…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-3.3 pts
expected 0.0 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $13.4k99% The-Joker110d agoexcluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ $20.2k97% blkmont110d agoexcluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ $11.7k97% thefakenick110d agoexcluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ $13.2k97% 0x4e8b…05bd110d agoexcluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ $89.9k97% 0x2233…cb7e110d agoexcluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ $11.0k97% 7ViziCapitale110d agocalled