Monday, March 30, 2026

136 whale trades totalling $7.15M from 107 wallets. Biggest: $1.00M buy No on “Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?” at 99.8¢. 159 of 266 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 161.3 expected (-0.9 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	HIGH BUY No @ 99.8¢	$1.00M	100%	0xf243…58d2 NEW	207d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 99.5¢	$886.7k 19.2× usual	99%	CAR-GangVersion	208d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$390.8k 7.2× usual	100%	rdba	208d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	MED SELL No @ 99.8¢	$338.4k 14.0× usual	0%	ImJustKen	207d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	MED SELL No @ 99.8¢	$299.4k 8.0× usual	0%	Erasmus. PROVEN	207d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY No @ 82¢	$219.3k 2.9× usual	82%	AML	207d ago	called	Trade this
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$150.0k	100%	Buuum	207d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$141.6k 2.6× usual	100%	rdba	208d ago	excluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$133.9k 5.4× usual	99%	C03B	208d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$101.2k 4.3× usual	0%	burrito338	207d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	LOW BUY No @ 94¢	$94.0k 3.6× usual	94%	Wickier	207d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$90.5k 4.4× usual	0%	tourists	207d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$88.7k 3.7× usual	100%	0x8b4b…541b PROVEN	208d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$85.0k	0%	glueeater	207d ago	excluded
Suns vs. Grizzlies	MED BUY Suns @ 86¢	$82.0k 4.6× usual	86%	S-Works	207d ago	excluded

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$1.00M

HIGH New wallet 0xf243…58d2 · 207d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$886.7k

MED CAR-GangVersion · 208d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$390.8k

LOW rdba · 208d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$338.4k

MED ImJustKen · 207d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$299.4k

MED PROVEN Erasmus. · 207d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 82¢$219.3k

MED AML · 207d ago

Trade this

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$150.0k

LOW Buuum · 207d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$141.6k

LOW rdba · 208d ago

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$133.9k

LOW C03B · 208d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$101.2k

LOW burrito338 · 207d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?called

BUY No @ 94¢$94.0k

LOW Wickier · 207d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$90.5k

LOW tourists · 207d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$88.7k

LOW PROVEN 0x8b4b…541b · 208d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$85.0k

LOW glueeater · 207d ago

Suns vs. Grizzliesexcluded

BUY Suns @ 86¢$82.0k

MED S-Works · 207d ago

Most traded markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$2.92M · 20 flags

Netanyahu out by March 31?

$1.02M · 11 flags

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

$488.6k · 21 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$426.5k · 8 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$281.1k · 7 flags

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$277.7k · 13 flags