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What this means. A wallet put $246.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$246.0k
BUY No @ 82¢ · 301,703 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.7× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet kingofthe5 took No (buy) for $246.0k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $246.0k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−442American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 81.5%
- Size
- $246.0k
- Placed
- Mar 24, 16:12 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- kingofthe5
- Tx
- 0x4fc04ee7…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+10.7 pts
expected 4.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +18 ptsNo price · entry 82¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $41.2k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 9.3× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $97.4k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $48.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |