Monday, February 23, 2026

398 whale trades totalling $11.84M from 241 wallets. Biggest: $1.02M buy No on “US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?” at 99.9¢. 3 of 10 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 5.2 expected (-21.5 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$1.02M 11.2× usual	100%	ClaudeAI	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$1.01M 26.2× usual	100%	scout	242d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$448.1k 18.8× usual	100%	nj168	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.5¢	$302.6k 3.3× usual	100%	ClaudeAI	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.7¢	$298.8k 3.3× usual	100%	ClaudeAI	242d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Pistons	MED BUY Pistons @ 52¢	$220.2k 5.1× usual	52%	Countryside	242d ago	missed	Trade this
Spurs vs. Pistons	MED BUY Spurs @ 47¢	$197.7k 2.6× usual	47%	shutitfatty	242d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Pistons	MED BUY Pistons @ 53¢	$175.4k 4.9× usual	53%	DrPufferfish	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	MED BUY Yes @ 62¢	$173.6k 3.7× usual	62%	SecondWindCapital	242d ago	called	Trade this
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 83¢	$112.6k 4.9× usual	83%	AssuredAdverts	243d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Pistons	LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢	$101.0k 2.5× usual	100%	llllllllllllllllllllllll	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$99.7k 2.5× usual	100%	onekey09	242d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Pistons	LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢	$77.9k 4.5× usual	0%	ThewhitewhaleV2	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$75.1k 2.8× usual	0%	0xa9e8…c443	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢	$75.1k 2.8× usual	97%	0xa9e8…c443	242d ago	excluded

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$1.02M

LOW ClaudeAI · 242d ago

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$1.01M

MED scout · 242d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$448.1k

MED nj168 · 242d ago

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$302.6k

MED ClaudeAI · 242d ago

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$298.8k

MED ClaudeAI · 242d ago

Spurs vs. Pistonsmissed

BUY Pistons @ 52¢$220.2k

MED Countryside · 242d ago

Trade this

Spurs vs. Pistonsexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 47¢$197.7k

MED shutitfatty · 242d ago

Spurs vs. Pistonsexcluded

BUY Pistons @ 53¢$175.4k

MED DrPufferfish · 242d ago

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called

BUY Yes @ 62¢$173.6k

MED SecondWindCapital · 242d ago

Trade this

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 83¢$112.6k

MED AssuredAdverts · 243d ago

Spurs vs. Pistonsexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢$101.0k

LOW llllllllllllllllllllllll · 242d ago

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$99.7k

LOW onekey09 · 242d ago

Spurs vs. Pistonsexcluded

SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢$77.9k

LOW ThewhitewhaleV2 · 242d ago

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$75.1k

LOW 0xa9e8…c443 · 242d ago

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 97.4¢$75.1k

LOW 0xa9e8…c443 · 242d ago

Most traded markets

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

$3.77M · 44 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$3.66M · 199 flags

Spurs vs. Pistons

$1.36M · 34 flags

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

$643.1k · 25 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

$528.6k · 9 flags

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

$348.7k · 10 flags