Friday, February 13, 2026

134 whale trades totalling $3.25M from 102 wallets. Biggest: $210.0k sell No on “Government shutdown on Saturday?” at 69¢. 6 of 23 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 15.1 expected (-39.7 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Government shutdown on Saturday?	HIGH SELL No @ 69¢	$210.0k 9.6× usual	31%	Llalalala	253d ago	missed	Trade this
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$200.8k 5.2× usual	100%	scout	252d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$134.3k	100%	0x095d…52cf	253d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$105.3k	99%	kgvdotcom	253d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$103.8k	99%	everbased	253d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 88¢	$67.4k	88%	0xcfee…f539	252d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	MED SELL No @ 96.3¢	$54.3k 2.4× usual	4%	anoin123	252d ago	called	Trade this
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$49.8k	100%	DonaldinhoTrumpito	252d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$49.8k	100%	DonaldinhoTrumpito	252d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$49.8k 2.7× usual	100%	oklr	252d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$49.0k 2.3× usual	100%	allen111	252d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$47.7k	99%	F1p	252d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢	$47.7k	1%	F1p	252d ago	excluded
Government shutdown on Saturday?	MED SELL No @ 72¢	$45.9k	28%	881112	253d ago	missed	Trade this
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$42.5k	100%	1610desktop	252d ago	excluded

Government shutdown on Saturday?missed

SELL No @ 69¢$210.0k

HIGH Llalalala · 253d ago

Trade this

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$200.8k

LOW scout · 252d ago

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$134.3k

LOW 0x095d…52cf · 253d ago

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$105.3k

LOW kgvdotcom · 253d ago

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$103.8k

LOW everbased · 253d ago

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 88¢$67.4k

MED 0xcfee…f539 · 252d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?called

SELL No @ 96.3¢$54.3k

MED anoin123 · 252d ago

Trade this

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$49.8k

LOW DonaldinhoTrumpito · 252d ago

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$49.8k

LOW DonaldinhoTrumpito · 252d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$49.8k

LOW oklr · 252d ago

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$49.0k

LOW allen111 · 252d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$47.7k

LOW F1p · 252d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.3¢$47.7k

LOW F1p · 252d ago

Government shutdown on Saturday?missed

SELL No @ 72¢$45.9k

MED 881112 · 253d ago

Trade this

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$42.5k

LOW 1610desktop · 252d ago

Most traded markets

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

$1.04M · 26 flags

Government shutdown on Saturday?

$823.2k · 29 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$482.2k · 22 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

$254.4k · 25 flags

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

$150.7k · 5 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

$97.2k · 3 flags