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What this means. A wallet put $37.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$37.6k
SELL No @ 81¢ · 46,380 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet 881112 took No (sell) for $37.6k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $37.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 19.0%
- Size
- $37.6k
- Placed
- Feb 13, 01:20 EST
- Market close
- Feb 13, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 881112
- Tx
- 0x917c5107…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-23.4 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -19 ptsNo price · entry 81¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $118.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $468.2k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $79.8k | excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $71.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $34.9k | excluded |