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What this means. A wallet put $40.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.0k
BUY Yes @ 95¢ · 42,106 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet Yalokin took Yes (buy) for $40.0k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $40.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1899American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- Size
- $40.0k
- Placed
- Feb 12, 23:16 EST
- Market close
- Feb 13, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Yalokin
- Tx
- 0x0d57e8e0…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-47.2 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -95 ptsYes price · entry 95¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $118.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $468.2k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $79.8k | excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $71.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $34.9k | excluded |