Tuesday, January 27, 2026

755 whale trades totalling $27.79M from 429 wallets. Biggest: $2.00M buy No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.9¢. 144 of 199 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 139.6 expected (+2.2 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$2.00M 22.0× usual	100%	ClaudeAI	269d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$993.4k 3.2× usual	100%	Ryan888	269d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.1¢	$908.0k 5.9× usual	99%	MarcoGPT	270d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.4¢	$860.8k 17.0× usual	99%	elmcap2	270d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$858.9k 17.0× usual	100%	elmcap2	269d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$822.0k 16.2× usual	100%	elmcap2	269d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.3¢	$744.8k 14.6× usual	1%	JAHODA	270d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢	$497.0k 5.5× usual	99%	ClaudeAI	269d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢	$481.5k 5.1× usual	99%	glueeater	270d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$451.4k 9.9× usual	100%	4gibg4i3o	270d ago	excluded
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$422.5k 9.3× usual	100%	4gibg4i3o	270d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$402.2k 9.7× usual	100%	Pestle	270d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 99¢	$370.9k 8.9× usual	1%	Pestle	270d ago	excluded
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	MED BUY Yes @ 68¢	$370.2k 4.3× usual	68%	kch123	269d ago	called	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$234.8k 2.8× usual	100%	0x0a37…7cd4	270d ago	excluded

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$2.00M

LOW ClaudeAI · 269d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$993.4k

LOW Ryan888 · 269d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.1¢$908.0k

LOW MarcoGPT · 270d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$860.8k

MED elmcap2 · 270d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$858.9k

LOW elmcap2 · 269d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$822.0k

LOW elmcap2 · 269d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.3¢$744.8k

MED JAHODA · 270d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$497.0k

LOW ClaudeAI · 269d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.2¢$481.5k

LOW glueeater · 270d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$451.4k

LOW 4gibg4i3o · 270d ago

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$422.5k

LOW 4gibg4i3o · 270d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$402.2k

MED Pestle · 270d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99¢$370.9k

MED Pestle · 270d ago

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?called

BUY Yes @ 68¢$370.2k

MED kch123 · 269d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$234.8k

LOW 0x0a37…7cd4 · 270d ago

Most traded markets

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$9.95M · 86 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$4.84M · 150 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$3.53M · 140 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

$3.27M · 154 flags

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?

$2.73M · 118 flags

US government shutdown Saturday?

$579.1k · 19 flags