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What this means. A wallet put $437.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$437.0k
BUY Yes @ 96¢ · 455,401 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)4.5× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet 0xe639…082a took Yes (buy) for $437.0k at an average 96¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $437.0k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2381American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96¢
- Implied odds
- 96.0%
- Size
- $437.0k
- Placed
- Jan 17, 22:57 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xe639…082a
- Tx
- 0xcc2a7d5f…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+0.1 pts
expected 6.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +4 ptsYes price · entry 96¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $139.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |