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What this means. A wallet put $189.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +12.8 pts vs the price over 34 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$189.6k
BUY Yes @ 91¢ · 208,358 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet8.2× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet GoriIIa took Yes (buy) for $189.6k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $189.6k+2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1011American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 91.0%
- Size
- $189.6k
- Placed
- Jan 05, 04:57 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- GoriIIa
- Tx
- 0x6f400ab7…
This wallet's graded record
32/34+12.8 pts
expected 27.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $139.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |