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What this means. A wallet put $234.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
$234.8k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 235,055 shares in 14 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite14 fills in 1h2.8× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet 0x0a37…7cd4 took No (buy) for $234.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $234.8k+2
Near-certain price-2
14 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$234.8k
Placed
Jan 27, 04:14 EST
Market close
Jan 27, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x0a37…7cd4
Tx
0x2b22fbdb…

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $234.8k WHALE $234.8K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.7k0% pigswallet268d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $17.6k0% 0x1f5a…7332269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $17.6k100% 0x1f5a…7332269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.3k0% chriszyy3269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $17.9k0% 0x4350…a17f269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $18.0k100% 0x4350…a17f269d agoexcluded