Sunday, January 25, 2026

574 whale trades totalling $19.10M from 332 wallets. Biggest: $999.0k buy No on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.9¢. 60 of 86 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 59.3 expected (+0.8 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$999.0k 6.4× usual	100%	MarcoGPT	271d ago	excluded
Rams vs. Seahawks	HIGH BUY Seahawks @ 60¢	$609.5k 15.4× usual	60%	geniusMC	271d ago	excluded
Patriots vs. Broncos	HIGH BUY Patriots @ 66¢	$399.3k	66%	hovanpavi	271d ago	excluded
Patriots vs. Broncos	MED SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢	$311.8k 9.8× usual	0%	YT-JuicySlots	271d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢	$297.6k 3.8× usual	99%	0x6b2c…5341	271d ago	excluded
Rams vs. Seahawks	HIGH BUY Rams @ 45¢	$297.1k	45%	0x1af1…0f7b	271d ago	excluded
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5	HIGH BUY Over @ 53¢	$292.3k	53%	0x4924…3782	271d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$228.5k 5.5× usual	99%	Pestle	271d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.1¢	$205.5k 4.9× usual	1%	Pestle	271d ago	excluded
Rams vs. Seahawks	LOW BUY Seahawks @ 98¢	$202.6k 16.3× usual	98%	0x160a…b058	271d ago	excluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?	MED BUY Yes @ 47¢	$200.0k 5.5× usual	47%	askilika	271d ago	excluded
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5	MED BUY Over @ 51¢	$180.1k 5.7× usual	51%	gmanas	271d ago	excluded
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 34¢	$171.9k	34%	0x9165…5b98	271d ago	missed	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$161.2k 3.9× usual	100%	Pestle	271d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$158.6k 3.8× usual	100%	Pestle	271d ago	excluded

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$999.0k

LOW MarcoGPT · 271d ago

Rams vs. Seahawksexcluded

BUY Seahawks @ 60¢$609.5k

HIGH geniusMC · 271d ago

Patriots vs. Broncosexcluded

BUY Patriots @ 66¢$399.3k

HIGH hovanpavi · 271d ago

Patriots vs. Broncosexcluded

SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢$311.8k

MED YT-JuicySlots · 271d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.2¢$297.6k

LOW 0x6b2c…5341 · 271d ago

Rams vs. Seahawksexcluded

BUY Rams @ 45¢$297.1k

HIGH 0x1af1…0f7b · 271d ago

Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5excluded

BUY Over @ 53¢$292.3k

HIGH 0x4924…3782 · 271d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$228.5k

LOW Pestle · 271d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.1¢$205.5k

MED Pestle · 271d ago

Rams vs. Seahawksexcluded

BUY Seahawks @ 98¢$202.6k

LOW 0x160a…b058 · 271d ago

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 47¢$200.0k

MED askilika · 271d ago

Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5excluded

BUY Over @ 51¢$180.1k

MED gmanas · 271d ago

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?missed

BUY Yes @ 34¢$171.9k

HIGH 0x9165…5b98 · 271d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$161.2k

LOW Pestle · 271d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$158.6k

LOW Pestle · 271d ago

Most traded markets

Rams vs. Seahawks

$3.60M · 79 flags

Patriots vs. Broncos

$3.51M · 88 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$2.98M · 84 flags

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?

$2.08M · 117 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$1.36M · 21 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

$962.4k · 55 flags