Saturday, January 24, 2026

113 whale trades totalling $3.45M from 89 wallets. Biggest: $601.3k buy Yes on “No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?” at 99¢. 20 of 22 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 19.1 expected (+4.1 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 99¢	$601.3k 11.9× usual	99%	elmcap2	273d ago	excluded
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?	MED BUY No @ 75¢	$158.6k	75%	kch123	272d ago	called	Trade this
Patriots vs. Broncos	HIGH BUY Broncos @ 34¢	$132.9k 2.6× usual	34%	432614799197	272d ago	missed	Trade this
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢	$100.0k	90%	edenmoon	273d ago	called	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢	$88.7k 2.1× usual	99%	Pestle	273d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.1¢	$85.1k 3.0× usual	1%	predictgeek	272d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	MED BUY Yes @ 73¢	$80.3k 2.4× usual	73%	0x090a…01b4	272d ago	called	Trade this
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$62.8k 3.1× usual	100%	third-eye	272d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	MED SELL No @ 94¢	$62.8k 3.0× usual	6%	tourists	272d ago	missed	Trade this
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$59.9k	100%	okcoolstorybro	273d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 98.7¢	$59.2k	1%	0x2aac…1b36	273d ago	excluded
Rams vs. Seahawks	LOW BUY Rams @ 44¢	$56.3k	44%	0x3f10…76b3	273d ago	missed	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢	$56.0k	99%	0x53c4…740b	272d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	MED SELL No @ 94¢	$50.8k	6%	tsekinming01	273d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$49.9k	0%	0x86d5…6575	272d ago	excluded

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99¢$601.3k

MED elmcap2 · 273d ago

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?called

BUY No @ 75¢$158.6k

MED kch123 · 272d ago

Trade this

Patriots vs. Broncosmissed

BUY Broncos @ 34¢$132.9k

HIGH 432614799197 · 272d ago

Trade this

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?called

BUY Yes @ 90¢$100.0k

LOW edenmoon · 273d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.2¢$88.7k

LOW Pestle · 273d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.1¢$85.1k

LOW predictgeek · 272d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?called

BUY Yes @ 73¢$80.3k

MED 0x090a…01b4 · 272d ago

Trade this

Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$62.8k

LOW third-eye · 272d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?missed

SELL No @ 94¢$62.8k

MED tourists · 272d ago

Trade this

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$59.9k

LOW okcoolstorybro · 273d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 98.7¢$59.2k

LOW 0x2aac…1b36 · 273d ago

Rams vs. Seahawksmissed

BUY Rams @ 44¢$56.3k

LOW 0x3f10…76b3 · 273d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.2¢$56.0k

LOW 0x53c4…740b · 272d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?missed

SELL No @ 94¢$50.8k

MED tsekinming01 · 273d ago

Trade this

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$49.9k

LOW 0x86d5…6575 · 272d ago

Most traded markets

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$1.17M · 23 flags

US government shutdown Saturday?

$280.5k · 12 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

$239.5k · 16 flags

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

$205.8k · 13 flags

Patriots vs. Broncos

$201.0k · 4 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

$176.0k · 6 flags