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What this means. A wallet put $180.1k on Over, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5excluded
$180.1k
BUY Over @ 51¢ · 353,109 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)5.7× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet gmanas took Over (buy) for $180.1k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $180.1k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
51.0%
As American odds
−104 no vig
Size
$180.1k
Placed
Jan 25, 13:17 EST
Market close
Jan 25, 14:00 EST
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
gmanas
Tx
0xe8c887aa…
This wallet's graded record
12/17+4.8 pts
expected 11.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -51 pts
Over price · entry 51¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $180.1k WHALE $180.1K @ 51¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5LOW SELL Under @ 99.9¢ $14.0k0% norrisfan272d agoexcluded
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5MED BUY Over @ 54¢ $130.1k54% kch123272d agoexcluded
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5HIGH BUY Over @ 53¢ $292.3k53% 0x4924…3782272d agoexcluded
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5LOW BUY Under @ 47¢ $36.3k47% gopatriots272d agoexcluded