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What this means. A wallet put $130.1k on Over, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5excluded
$130.1k
BUY Over @ 54¢ · 240,910 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet kch123 took Over (buy) for $130.1k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $130.1k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
54¢
Implied odds
54.0%
As American odds
−117 no vig
Size
$130.1k
Placed
Jan 25, 13:23 EST
Market close
Jan 25, 14:00 EST
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
kch123
Tx
0x4ff0bb8a…
This wallet's graded record
8/10+26.8 pts
expected 5.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -54 pts
Over price · entry 54¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 54¢ · $130.1k WHALE $130.1K @ 54¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5LOW SELL Under @ 99.9¢ $14.0k0% norrisfan272d agoexcluded
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5HIGH BUY Over @ 53¢ $292.3k53% 0x4924…3782272d agoexcluded
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5LOW BUY Under @ 47¢ $36.3k47% gopatriots272d agoexcluded
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5MED BUY Over @ 51¢ $180.1k
5.7× usual
51% gmanas272d agoexcluded