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What this means. A wallet put $297.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
$297.6k
BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ · 300,000 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)3.8× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet 0x6b2c…5341 took Yes (buy) for $297.6k at an average 99.2¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $297.6k+3
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−12400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.2¢
Implied odds
99.2%
Size
$297.6k
Placed
Jan 25, 09:13 EST
Market close
Jan 27, 19:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x6b2c…5341
Tx
0x7f76b0c7…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+9.6 pts
expected 4.5 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +1 pts
Yes price · entry 99.2¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.2¢ · $297.6k WHALE $297.6K @ 99.2¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $55.0k
2.8× usual
0% tianjiyuyunzhilu268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% scottilicious PROVEN268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $139.9k
4.0× usual
0% pako268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% Treadmilled268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% toytrucks268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$55.0k
LOW tianjiyuyunzhilu · 268d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$20.0k
LOW PROVEN scottilicious · 268d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$139.9k
MED pako · 268d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$30.0k
LOW PROVEN ArmageddonRewardsBilly · 268d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$30.0k
LOW Treadmilled · 268d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$20.0k
LOW toytrucks · 268d ago