Wednesday, January 14, 2026

136 whale trades totalling $5.32M from 73 wallets. Biggest: $653.1k buy No on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?” at 78¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	HIGH BUY No @ 78¢	$653.1k 12.7× usual	78%	Labtrador	282d ago	called	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$205.6k 5.0× usual	100%	Pestle	282d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$198.0k 4.8× usual	100%	Pestle	283d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$181.2k 4.4× usual	100%	Pestle	282d ago	excluded
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?	MED BUY No @ 95.7¢	$130.7k 2.3× usual	96%	0x9c99…7250	282d ago	called	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$128.5k 3.1× usual	100%	Pestle	283d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 53¢	$118.3k 3.6× usual	53%	0x090a…01b4	282d ago	missed	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$102.0k 2.5× usual	100%	Pestle	282d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$96.7k 2.3× usual	100%	Pestle	282d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	MED SELL No @ 80¢	$95.5k 4.1× usual	20%	anoin123	282d ago	missed	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 95.9¢	$84.5k	96%	Coram_Deo	283d ago	called	Trade this
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?	MED BUY No @ 84¢	$83.3k 4.7× usual	84%	emcor	283d ago	missed	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97¢	$76.7k 2.3× usual	97%	fastviking	282d ago	called	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 95¢	$75.4k	5%	Pestle	282d ago	missed	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$74.5k	100%	Pestle	282d ago	excluded

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?called

BUY No @ 78¢$653.1k

HIGH Labtrador · 282d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$205.6k

LOW Pestle · 282d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$198.0k

LOW Pestle · 283d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$181.2k

LOW Pestle · 282d ago

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?called

BUY No @ 95.7¢$130.7k

MED 0x9c99…7250 · 282d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$128.5k

LOW Pestle · 283d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?missed

BUY No @ 53¢$118.3k

MED 0x090a…01b4 · 282d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$102.0k

LOW Pestle · 282d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$96.7k

LOW Pestle · 282d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?missed

SELL No @ 80¢$95.5k

MED anoin123 · 282d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 95.9¢$84.5k

MED Coram_Deo · 283d ago

Trade this

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?missed

BUY No @ 84¢$83.3k

MED emcor · 283d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 97¢$76.7k

LOW fastviking · 282d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 95¢$75.4k

MED Pestle · 282d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$74.5k

LOW Pestle · 282d ago

Most traded markets

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

$1.79M · 41 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$815.1k · 12 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$800.8k · 12 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$660.6k · 25 flags

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

$230.1k · 13 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$170.1k · 3 flags