Tuesday, January 13, 2026

135 whale trades totalling $5.81M from 76 wallets. Biggest: $1.21M sell No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.9¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$1.21M 14.8× usual	0%	0xce5b…047a	283d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$569.5k 7.0× usual	0%	0xce5b…047a	283d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 96¢	$206.6k 11.4× usual	96%	big.bitch	283d ago	called	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$177.0k 4.3× usual	100%	Pestle	283d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 96.1¢	$164.3k 6.9× usual	96%	schizohedgehog	283d ago	called	Trade this
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	MED SELL No @ 79¢	$163.3k 6.4× usual	21%	WordleAddict	283d ago	missed	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$157.7k	100%	0xb579…55ae	283d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$134.7k 3.2× usual	100%	Pestle	283d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$126.1k 3.0× usual	100%	Pestle	283d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	LOW BUY No @ 79¢	$87.0k 3.4× usual	79%	WordleAddict	283d ago	called	Trade this
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	MED SELL No @ 79¢	$79.0k	21%	SlavaUkraini	283d ago	missed	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$68.4k	100%	Pestle	283d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	MED SELL No @ 78¢	$67.6k 2.8× usual	22%	tgrdy	283d ago	missed	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 94.2¢	$64.6k 3.5× usual	94%	Aeglos	283d ago	called	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$61.1k	100%	Pestle	284d ago	excluded

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$1.21M

MED 0xce5b…047a · 283d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$569.5k

MED 0xce5b…047a · 283d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 96¢$206.6k

MED big.bitch · 283d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$177.0k

LOW Pestle · 283d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 96.1¢$164.3k

MED schizohedgehog · 283d ago

Trade this

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?missed

SELL No @ 79¢$163.3k

MED WordleAddict · 283d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$157.7k

LOW 0xb579…55ae · 283d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$134.7k

LOW Pestle · 283d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$126.1k

LOW Pestle · 283d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?called

BUY No @ 79¢$87.0k

LOW WordleAddict · 283d ago

Trade this

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?missed

SELL No @ 79¢$79.0k

MED SlavaUkraini · 283d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$68.4k

LOW Pestle · 283d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?missed

SELL No @ 78¢$67.6k

MED tgrdy · 283d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 94.2¢$64.6k

MED Aeglos · 283d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$61.1k

LOW Pestle · 284d ago

Most traded markets

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$2.16M · 12 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$1.10M · 34 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

$942.2k · 29 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$758.7k · 17 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

$199.5k · 6 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

$90.5k · 4 flags