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What this means. A wallet put $164.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$164.3k
BUY Yes @ 96.1¢ · 170,932 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)6.9× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet schizohedgehog took Yes (buy) for $164.3k at an average 96.1¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $164.3k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2485American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.1¢
- Implied odds
- 96.1%
- Size
- $164.3k
- Placed
- Jan 13, 10:13 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- schizohedgehog
- Tx
- 0x528189a5…
This wallet's graded record
17/17+9.7 pts
expected 15.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $139.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |