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What this means. A wallet put $76.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?called
$76.7k
BUY No @ 97¢ · 79,095 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2.3× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet fastviking took No (buy) for $76.7k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $76.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3193American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97¢
Implied odds
97.0%
Size
$76.7k
Placed
Jan 14, 05:11 EST
Market close
Jan 30, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
fastviking
Tx
0x892de453…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $23.8k0% cqs265d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.3k0% MisTKy3265d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $23.4k100% noreasapa265d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $39.9k0% 0x0804…1c31265d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.1k0% 0xfd87…6957265d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $53.9k
2.7× usual
0% UwO265d agoexcluded