Friday, October 2, 2026

29 whale trades totalling $3.62M from 26 wallets. Biggest: $1.83M sell Yes on “Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?” at 99.9¢. 5 of 9 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 4.8 expected (+2.6 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$1.83M	0%	0xe6ca…bff4	21d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 66¢	$976.2k	66%	0xe6ca…bff4	21d ago	called	Trade this
Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B	MED BUY Global Esports @ 72¢	$152.9k 4.5× usual	72%	YYYYY999	21d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	MED BUY No @ 34¢	$94.8k 2.3× usual	34%	0x2c33…0563	21d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢	$66.2k	66%	optimusprime777879	21d ago	called	Trade this
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 77¢	$50.0k	77%	Lula20262026 NEW	21d ago	missed	Trade this
China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea	LOW SELL Hubert Hurkacz @ 99.9¢	$34.0k 2.2× usual	0%	xabidaking	21d ago	excluded
Spread: Bears (-3.5)	LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢	$31.9k 2.4× usual	51%	ArielFilipino	21d ago	missed	Trade this
China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea	MED BUY Arthur Gea @ 51¢	$30.0k	51%	0x78be…bde0	21d ago	excluded
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 92¢	$30.0k	92%	Chelseaone	21d ago	called	Trade this
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	LOW BUY No @ 38¢	$27.2k	38%	PAROLIBOYS	21d ago	missed	Trade this
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$26.1k	0%	Varil	21d ago	excluded
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$25.0k	100%	texture	21d ago	excluded
Cowboys vs. Texans	LOW BUY Cowboys @ 41¢	$22.3k	41%	mooseborzoii	21d ago	called	Trade this
Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B	LOW BUY Global Esports @ 73¢	$20.0k	73%	retordedgremlin125	21d ago	excluded

Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$1.83M

MED 0xe6ca…bff4 · 21d ago

Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?called

BUY Yes @ 66¢$976.2k

HIGH 0xe6ca…bff4 · 21d ago

Trade this

Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group Bexcluded

BUY Global Esports @ 72¢$152.9k

MED YYYYY999 · 21d ago

Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?missed

BUY No @ 34¢$94.8k

MED 0x2c33…0563 · 21d ago

Trade this

Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?called

BUY Yes @ 66¢$66.2k

LOW optimusprime777879 · 21d ago

Trade this

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?missed

BUY Yes @ 77¢$50.0k

HIGH New wallet Lula20262026 · 21d ago

Trade this

China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Geaexcluded

SELL Hubert Hurkacz @ 99.9¢$34.0k

LOW xabidaking · 21d ago

Spread: Bears (-3.5)missed

BUY Jets @ 51¢$31.9k

LOW ArielFilipino · 21d ago

Trade this

China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Geaexcluded

BUY Arthur Gea @ 51¢$30.0k

MED 0x78be…bde0 · 21d ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?called

BUY No @ 92¢$30.0k

LOW Chelseaone · 21d ago

Trade this

Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?missed

BUY No @ 38¢$27.2k

LOW PAROLIBOYS · 21d ago

Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$26.1k

LOW Varil · 21d ago

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$25.0k

LOW texture · 21d ago

Cowboys vs. Texanscalled

BUY Cowboys @ 41¢$22.3k

LOW mooseborzoii · 21d ago

Trade this

Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group Bexcluded

BUY Global Esports @ 73¢$20.0k

LOW retordedgremlin125 · 21d ago

Most traded markets

Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?

$3.02M · 7 flags

Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B

$191.3k · 3 flags

China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea

$92.3k · 4 flags

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

$50.0k · 1 flags

Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner

$41.0k · 3 flags

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

$39.1k · 2 flags