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What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on Arthur Gea, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.0k
BUY Arthur Gea @ 51¢ · 58,440 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x78be…bde0 took Arthur Gea (buy) for $30.0k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Hubert Hurkacz. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $30.0k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−105American odds
$1.00paid per share if Arthur Gea wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.3%
- As American odds
- −105 no vig
- Size
- $30.0k
- Placed
- Oct 02, 07:37 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 02, 07:25 EDT
- Result
- Hubert Hurkacz
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x78be…bde0
- Tx
- 0xcd6a6f06…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-52.4 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsArthur Gea price · entry 51¢ · resolved Hubert Hurkacz
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea | LOW SELL Hubert Hurkacz @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea | LOW BUY Hubert Hurkacz @ 98¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea | LOW BUY Arthur Gea @ 53¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea | LOW BUY Hubert Hurkacz @ 57¢ | $10.1k | called |