← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $14.5k on EDward Gaming, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.5k
BUY EDward Gaming @ 30¢ · 48,170 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took EDward Gaming (buy) for $14.5k at an average 30¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved Global Esports, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $14.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 30¢ means
30%chance the market gave
+233American odds
$1.00paid per share if EDward Gaming wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 30¢
- Implied odds
- 30.0%
- As American odds
- +233 no vig
- Size
- $14.5k
- Placed
- Oct 01, 17:51 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 02, 05:00 EDT
- Result
- Global Esports
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0xe58b5322…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -30 ptsEDward Gaming price · entry 30¢ · resolved Global Esports
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Global Esports @ 73¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Global Esports @ 72¢ | $152.9k 4.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY EDward Gaming @ 29¢ | $18.4k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Global Esports @ 72¢ | $10.0k | called | |
| MED BUY Global Esports @ 73¢ | $46.5k | called | |
| MED BUY Global Esports @ 73¢ | $42.5k | called |