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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.2 wins, so it did +27.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+27.3 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.2
Flagged volume
$516.3k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$225.5k
Last 30 days −$323.7k · $4.66M volume · 853 trades · since Sep 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$763.6k
Open P&L · 23 positions
−$967.9k
Closed-position win rate
93%
42 closed
Wallet age · markets
25d
64 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 2.2 | +27.3 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7f7351…