Friday, September 25, 2026

34 whale trades totalling $1.29M from 28 wallets. Biggest: $338.5k buy No on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?” at 99.7¢. 0 of 1 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 0.6 expected (-62.3 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	MED BUY No @ 99.7¢	$338.5k 4.3× usual	100%	033033033	29d ago	excluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$108.5k 3.8× usual	100%	Avamax	29d ago	excluded
Chiefs vs. Dolphins	MED BUY Chiefs @ 85¢	$97.5k 2.7× usual	85%	0x9f15…bdb3	29d ago	called	Trade this
Chiefs vs. Dolphins	LOW BUY Chiefs @ 85¢	$50.0k	85%	0x9f15…bdb3	29d ago	called	Trade this
Chiefs vs. Dolphins	MED SELL Chiefs @ 84¢	$47.9k	16%	0x9f15…bdb3	29d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	LOW BUY No @ 58¢	$47.3k 2.8× usual	58%	btmx6	29d ago	missed	Trade this
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	LOW SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢	$47.2k 2.5× usual	0%	verifly	29d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$45.8k	99%	Varil	29d ago	excluded
Houston Astros vs. Athletics	LOW SELL Houston Astros @ 99.9¢	$45.1k	0%	Kev69	29d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$37.2k	99%	Coarse-Mallow	29d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$34.8k	99%	tetrase	29d ago	excluded
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	LOW BUY FlyQuest @ 80¢	$32.1k	80%	0x2c33…0563	29d ago	excluded
Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse	MED BUY Anna Bondar @ 61¢	$30.6k	61%	NS13	29d ago	excluded
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	MED BUY FlyQuest @ 63¢	$29.8k	63%	bloodmaster	29d ago	excluded
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	LOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 99.5¢	$26.3k	100%	ferrariChampions2026	29d ago	excluded

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$338.5k

MED 033033033 · 29d ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$108.5k

LOW Avamax · 29d ago

Chiefs vs. Dolphinscalled

BUY Chiefs @ 85¢$97.5k

MED 0x9f15…bdb3 · 29d ago

Trade this

Chiefs vs. Dolphinscalled

BUY Chiefs @ 85¢$50.0k

LOW 0x9f15…bdb3 · 29d ago

Trade this

Chiefs vs. Dolphinsmissed

SELL Chiefs @ 84¢$47.9k

MED 0x9f15…bdb3 · 29d ago

Trade this

Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?missed

BUY No @ 58¢$47.3k

LOW btmx6 · 29d ago

Trade this

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffsexcluded

SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢$47.2k

LOW verifly · 29d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$45.8k

LOW Varil · 29d ago

Houston Astros vs. Athleticsexcluded

SELL Houston Astros @ 99.9¢$45.1k

LOW Kev69 · 29d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$37.2k

LOW Coarse-Mallow · 29d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$34.8k

LOW tetrase · 29d ago

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffsexcluded

BUY FlyQuest @ 80¢$32.1k

LOW 0x2c33…0563 · 29d ago

Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruseexcluded

BUY Anna Bondar @ 61¢$30.6k

MED NS13 · 29d ago

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffsexcluded

BUY FlyQuest @ 63¢$29.8k

MED bloodmaster · 29d ago

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesexcluded

BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 99.5¢$26.3k

LOW ferrariChampions2026 · 29d ago

Most traded markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

$476.2k · 5 flags

Chiefs vs. Dolphins

$239.0k · 6 flags

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$148.4k · 6 flags

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?

$108.5k · 1 flags

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

$89.1k · 5 flags

Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?

$76.2k · 3 flags