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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?

Resolved: No
Flags
9
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$350.9k
Price 7d ago → now
—
Category
Other
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$370.9k
8 flags
none none
Not No$20.0k
1 flag
none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% noreasapa23d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k100% scout24d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k100% noreasapa26d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $108.5k
3.8× usual
100% Avamax28d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $190.0k100% AlmostRich30d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $10.2k99% stupid2235d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ $11.7k98% thoodr53d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ $12.5k97% Alpheo65d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96.1¢ $10.0k96% 0x690b…bd2c74d agocalled

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 9 whale trades on this market totalling $390.9k from 8 wallets. The largest was $190.0k (buy No at 99.7¢). Most whale money ($370.9k) went to No. 8 of 9 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, AlmostRich ($190.0k), has no graded flags yet.

Market data from Polymarket (kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-september-30-20260730004207224).