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0x690b…bd2c

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +3.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+3.9 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$23.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$60.2k
Last 30 days +$3,301 · $1.76M volume · 1,226 trades · since Jul 02, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$87.1k
Open P&L · 49 positions
−$25.0k
Closed-position win rate
86%
88 closed
Wallet age · markets
114d
159 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other111.0+3.9 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $13.7k98% 74d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?LOW BUY No @ 96.1¢ $10.0k96% 75d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x690bfe…